BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Alabama St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 328 Overall: (10-22) Overall Strength =   13.18
Conference: Southwest Athletic Record: (7-12) | District: 1-02 Record: (9-17)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-07-2025 Away    L       2.48  64 101    1  65 (18-15) Florida St            -11.55    -25.45                      
 2 11-11-2025 Away    W   *  35.85  77  74    1 128 (20-12) Alabama-Birmingham     21.81    -18.81                      
 3 11-14-2025 Home    W       3.60 124  68   ZZ 358 ( 0-10) VA-Lynchburg          -10.44 *   66.44                      
 4 11-17-2025 Away    L      10.55  66  94    1  74 (17-16) Colorado               -3.48    -24.52                      
 5 11-19-2025 Away    L   *  12.96  64  66    1 334 ( 3-29) Air Force              -1.07     -0.93                      
 6 11-21-2025 Neutral W   *  36.70 101  80    1 313 ( 7-25) IUPUI                  22.67     -1.67                      
 7 11-23-2025 Neutral L   *   4.99  68  83    1 274 (20-13) SIUE                   -9.05     -5.95                      
 8 11-26-2025 Away    L   *  36.88  87  93    1  45 (26-11) New Mexico             22.85 *  -28.85                      
 9 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  14.46  64  74    1 229 (22-11) TN Martin               0.42    -10.42                      
10 12-11-2025 Away    L      33.08  77  85    1  53 (20-13) Missouri               19.04 *  -27.04                      
11 12-17-2025 Away    L       6.33  51  88    1  43 (18-15) Cincinnati             -7.71 *  -29.29                      
12 12-22-2025 Away    L   *  11.47  67  88    1 122 (13-19) Memphis                -2.56    -18.44                      
13 12-29-2025 Away    L      -2.75  56  94    1  98 (13-19) Mississippi St        -16.79    -21.21                      
14 01-03-2026 Away    W * *  22.70  89  69    1 360 ( 3-30) MS Valley St            8.67     11.33                      
15 01-05-2026 Away    L * *   6.16  79  90    1 317 (13-19) Ark Pine Bluff         -7.87     -3.13                      
16 01-10-2026 Home    L * *  -4.80  64  75    1 344 (12-21) Jackson St            -18.84      7.84                      
17 01-12-2026 Home    W * *  20.94  81  66    1 345 ( 9-23) Alcorn St               6.90      8.10                      
18 01-19-2026 Neutral L * *  10.02  69  73    1 311 (18-15) Alabama A&M            -4.01      0.01                      
19 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  33.46  95  80    1 305 (19-18) Prairie View           19.43     -4.43                      
20 01-27-2026 Away    L * * -15.44  64  96    1 315 (12-18) TX Southern           -29.47     -2.53                      
21 01-31-2026 Home    L * *   1.42  54  69    1 269 (17-15) Bethune-Cookman       -12.61     -2.39                      
22 02-02-2026 Home    W * *  24.61  79  66    1 319 (15-16) Florida A&M            10.58      2.42                      
23 02-07-2026 Away    L * *   9.34  47  57    1 303 (14-19) Grambling              -4.69     -5.31                      
24 02-09-2026 Away    L * *  20.13  68  69    1 293 (17-17) Southern Univ           6.10     -7.10                      
25 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  29.75  79  61    1 317 (13-19) Ark Pine Bluff         15.72      2.28                      
26 02-16-2026 Home    W * *  34.30  92  55    1 360 ( 3-30) MS Valley St           20.27     16.73                      
27 02-19-2026 Away    L * *  10.82  71  82    1 269 (17-15) Bethune-Cookman        -3.21     -7.79                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    L * *   4.02  63  76    1 319 (15-16) Florida A&M           -10.02     -2.98                      
29 02-28-2026 Away    W * *  17.72  89  88    1 311 (18-15) Alabama A&M             3.69     -2.69                      
30 03-03-2026 Home    L * *   8.73  64  71    1 293 (17-17) Southern Univ          -5.31     -1.69                      
31 03-05-2026 Home    L * *  11.94  63  65    1 303 (14-19) Grambling              -2.09      0.09                      
32 03-09-2026 Neutral L * *  -3.36  65  77    1 345 ( 9-23) Alcorn St             -17.40      5.40                      
      Averages              14.03  73.2 77.3

Best game:   36.88 = 6 point loss to New Mexico
Worst game: -15.44 = 32 point loss to TX Southern
Team stdev:  13.69